Predictions and voting intentions for the November 5, 2024 United States national election and a challenge to those who want to get better at predicting the future.
Great piece. I personally don't bet on election outcomes precisely because I fear placing a bet will prejudice my analysis/predictive abilities going forward. But when making my outcome predictions, I do think to myself "would I bet money on what I'm predicting?" and if the answer is "no" I re-think my predictions.
Great piece. I personally don't bet on election outcomes precisely because I fear placing a bet will prejudice my analysis/predictive abilities going forward. But when making my outcome predictions, I do think to myself "would I bet money on what I'm predicting?" and if the answer is "no" I re-think my predictions.